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2024-12-14 11:29:35

Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)Institution: The European Central Bank is paying attention to the weakness of the euro. The European Central Bank said yesterday that inflation is slowing down and hinted that it will cut interest rates again. However, Joost Van Leenders, an analyst at Van Lanschot kemen, said in a report that the European Central Bank will pay close attention to the recent weakness of the euro. As the import price rises, a weak currency may push up inflation. The senior investment strategist said that since the current deposit interest rate in the euro zone is 3% and the neutral interest rate is around 2%, the European Central Bank will cut interest rates at least four times. However, European Central Bank President Lagarde stressed that the inflation risk is two-sided. 


This week, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange took self-regulatory measures against 171 abnormal securities trading behaviors, and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange released regulatory trends: 1. Regulatory trends of listed companies (December 6-December 12, 2024) From December 6 to December 12, the Exchange took disciplinary action against one violation, involving information disclosure and standardized operation violations; Supervision letters were issued for 9 violations, 3 related to information disclosure and standardized operation violations, and 6 related to securities trading violations. This week, 18 inquiry letters and 5 other letters were sent out. II. Market Trading Supervision Dynamics (December 9-December 13, 2024) From December 9 to December 13, the Exchange took self-regulatory measures against 171 abnormal securities trading behaviors, involving abnormal trading situations such as intraday bidding, false declaration, etc. Focus on monitoring "*ST Tongzhou" with abnormal stock price fluctuation recently; A total of 9 major events of listed companies were verified, and 3 clues of suspected illegal cases were reported to the CSRC. (Issued by Shenzhen Stock Exchange)The Baltic Sea Index fell for the fourth consecutive week due to the drop in freight rates of all ship sectors. According to the latest data, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reported 1051 points on December 13, 2024, the lowest level since July 25, 2023, down 0.38% from the previous value, and fell for the fourth consecutive day. Among them, Panama-type freight index (BPI) reported 995 points, down 2.55% from the previous value, Cape-type freight index (BCI) reported 1263 points, up 0.88%, and super handy ship freight index (BSI) reported 959 points, down 0.21%. The Baltic Exchange's Dry Bulk Shipping Index, which is used to measure the freight of ships transporting dry bulk goods, fell for the fourth week in a row on Friday, because all ship sectors fell this week. The index, which takes into account the freight rates of Capesize, Panamax and Super Handy ships, fell 4 points to 1,051 points on Friday, the lowest level since the end of July 2023. The index fell by about 10% this week. Panama shipping freight index fell 26 points to 995 points. The index also fell this week. Panama-type ships usually carry 60,000-70,000 tons of coal or grain cargo, and their average daily income dropped by $231 to $8,955. Although the freight index of Cape ships rose by 11 points to 1,263 points on Friday, it still fell for the fourth consecutive week. Cape ships usually transport 150 thousand tons of goods, such as iron ore and coal, and their average daily income has increased by 92 dollars to 10,474 dollars. Iron ore futures fell, but closed higher this week. Among small vessels, the freight index of super handy vessels dropped by 2 points to 959 points, which also recorded a loss in Zhou Du.Bank of America: Investors poured into China stocks in recent weeks, and Bank of America strategists said that investors put money into China stocks again in the past week. In the week ending Wednesday, China equity funds received about $5.6 billion, the largest inflow in nine weeks, strategists such as Michael Hartnett quoted EPFR Global data as saying. He also believes that the first quarter of next year will be the entry point for non-US stocks. As investors have deployed a large number of positions for the rise in the yield of US dollars and US bonds, there is a risk of overshooting early next year. He believes that bonds, gold and international stocks are attractive under the assumption that persistent inflation forces the Fed to become more hawkish.


Supreme People's Procuratorate: Make full use of the rule of law to serve high-quality development. The reporter learned from the Supreme People's Procuratorate on December 13 that the meeting held on the day of the Supreme People's Procuratorate required that procuratorial organs should fully perform their legal supervision duties in accordance with the law, strive to create a harmonious and peaceful social environment, a safe and stable rule of law environment, a fair and just market environment, and a clean business environment, and make full use of the rule of law to serve high-quality development. (Xinhua News Agency)Huatai Research gave JD.COM Group the initial rating of H-share purchase with a target price of HK$ 182.73.Puyin AXA Fund: Zhang Jian is the new chairman of the company. On December 13th, Puyin AXA Fund announced that since December 13th, Zhang Jian has been the new chairman of the company, while Xie Wei, the former chairman, left his post on December 13th due to work arrangements, and there is no explanation for his transfer to other positions in the company.

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